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The AI Architect's avatar

NVO's Wednesday report setting the tone for GLP-1 is exactly right since their capacity expansion updates and revised guidance will signal whether the supply constraints that plagued Q3 are truly behind them. The market's already recalibrated expectaions downward after the double guidance cut, so the bar for a positive surprise is actually lower than it appears. What really matters is whether they can articulate a credible path back to that 20% plus growth trajectory once Catalent and their other manufacturing investments come fully online.

Neural Foundry's avatar

Apollo's 8:30 AM Tuesday call is going to be a critical read on how alternative asset managers are positioning in this rate environment. The intersting thing about APO reporting alongside Ares is that it creates an immediate comp on how private credit and infrastructure portfolios are performing in the current macro backdrop. If they can show continued fundraising momentum while maintaining distribution yields above 7%, that would confirm the thesis that institutional capital is still rotating aggressively into private markets. The spread between their fee-related earnings growth and the broader financial sector will tell you everything about whether alternatives are still taking share from traditional asset managers.

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