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NVO's Wednesday report setting the tone for GLP-1 is exactly right since their capacity expansion updates and revised guidance will signal whether the supply constraints that plagued Q3 are truly behind them. The market's already recalibrated expectaions downward after the double guidance cut, so the bar for a positive surprise is actually lower than it appears. What really matters is whether they can articulate a credible path back to that 20% plus growth trajectory once Catalent and their other manufacturing investments come fully online.

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