Trade Plan Update : Week 1 of June 2026
A 60-stock weekly playbook for navigating a broadening rally, separating real Trend-Hold setups from dangerous chase trades.
This week’s edge: the rally broadened out of megacap semis into the beaten-down AI software and high-beta names, and several reclaimed their trends. Let the reclaim do the confirming, and buy pullbacks into the 1D EMA20 rather than chasing an overbought tape.
The risk-on tape not only held this week, it broadened. SPY added 1.9% to close at 756.48 and QQQ led with a 3.3% gain to 738.31, both printing fresh highs as the bond market kept easing.
The 10-year slipped to 4.45% and the 30-year to 4.99%, both lower than a week ago, with the 2-year down at 3.98%, while VIXY cooled another 7.9% to 23.3, a clean read that the rate scare is well behind us and buyers are reaching further out the risk curve.\
The big story was rotation into the names that had been left for dead: Palantir ripped 14% and reclaimed full Trend-Hold leadership, Oracle broke out 18% on AI compute deals, Rubrik gained 18%, and the high-beta cohort (SOFI up 17%, Shopify up 15%, Redwire up 40%) surged off its lows. Semiconductors were more mixed than last week: AMD, Infineon, and Samsung all gained double digits, but Nvidia actually slipped and cooled out of Trend-Hold even as its peers led.
The laggards were the defensives and energy, where Costco broke down 7%, Exxon lost its trend and rolled into Repair, and Walmart stayed broken.
The posture for the week is constructive but increasingly stretched, with SPY and QQQ both overbought into a jobs report on Friday: favor the confirmed reclaims and Trend-Hold pullbacks, respect the names that broke down, and let confirmation, not anticipation, pull the trigger.
What Changed From Last Week
Reclaimed Trend-Hold: BIDU, CRWV, MSFT, PLTR. The strongest signal of the week, structure fully repaired.
Lifted out of Breakdown into Transitional: ADBE, META, PINS, SHOP, SOFI. Early bounces that still need to prove themselves.
First repair off the lows: DG, LULU, RTX. Damaged names showing the first sign of basing.
Cooled out of Trend-Hold into Transitional: GOOG, NVDA. Leaders that lost their trend and now need to re-prove it.
Lost the trend, into Repair: XOM. Downgraded a full step, treat as damaged until reclaimed.
Broke down: BRK.B, COST, LMT, XRH0.L. Fresh damage, the framework moves these to the avoid list.
Biggest movers: RDW +40%, RBRK +18%, ORCL +18%, SOFI +17% to the upside; COST -7%, XOM -6%, XRH0.L -5%, BABA -4% to the downside.
How Our Trade Plans Work
Our framework is rules-based and level-driven. We classify each name into a regime (Trend-Hold, Transitional, Repair, or Breakdown) using the 1D EMA stack, cross-checked against the 1W chart. Every entry, target, and invalidation traces back to a specific indicator level. T1 is the first profit-take layer, T2 is the structural objective, T3 is the stretch target on full continuation. Sizing follows the regime: Trend-Hold names take normal size but only on a pullback to support or a confirmed breakout; Transitional names take half size or wait; Repair names take a starter only after a reclaim; Breakdown names are avoided until a reclaim confirms.
Two stops, two jobs. The trade stop protects the position; the regime invalidation changes the thesis. The trade stop is the tactical level where a single trade is wrong and you cut it. The regime invalidation is the deeper level where the entire classification flips to a lower regime and the reason to own the name is gone. They differ on purpose: one manages risk, the other manages conviction.
Cash is a position, and waiting is part of the plan. This update ranks 60 stocks and ETFs: the highest-conviction, near-entry names get a full setup, and the rest are tracked in the watchlist table so nothing in the universe goes uncovered.
This Week’s Playbook
Start here. The detailed setups follow for the top names, and the full watchlist table covers the rest.
Best risk/reward this week: CRWV, UNH, TGT, BIDU, AMZN. Price is already at a defined entry on the 1D EMA20, so the trigger is near and the risk is tight.
Best leaders to buy only on weakness: FFIV, AIXA.DE, NBIS, LLY, SMSN.L, ASTS (+3 more in the table). Clean trends with room to run, but buy the pullback, do not pay up here.
Most dangerous chase setups: XOVR, RDW, PANW, IFX.DE, AAPL, QQQ (+4 more in the table). Overbought leaders; the trend is real but the entry is not, wait for a reset.
Avoid until a reclaim confirms: BABA, BRK.B, COST, ETHA, INTU, LMT, NFLX, NOC, PALL, WMT, XRH0.L, XRPI. No long exposure; not every dip is a setup, and cash is the position.
This update covers the following 60 stocks and ETFs across consumer, technology, healthcare, industrials, and commodities.
Top 10 Actionable Setups
These are the highest-conviction names sitting closest to a defined entry. Full detail, levels, and both stops for each.
CoreWeave Inc. (CRWV), Last close: 109.53
